Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 8.055514 9.378046 10.802090 12.443864 14.278664 16.260291 18.556419
2025-03-30 6.325905 8.024762 9.975626 12.362506 15.183988 18.392565 22.295723
2025-04-06 5.262421 7.182381 9.509306 12.497534 16.190621 20.561432 26.077891
2025-04-13 4.480808 6.531467 9.138421 12.629466 17.109571 22.590372 29.718621
2025-04-20 3.969700 6.136151 9.008584 12.996543 18.280007 24.924177 33.780911
2025-04-27 3.519956 5.751538 8.828881 13.245154 19.266648 27.026740 37.597198
2025-05-04 3.070000 5.300821 8.498085 13.235362 19.873280 28.626538 40.791378
2025-05-11 2.536737 4.652415 7.813594 12.658750 19.644119 29.076232 42.455317
2025-05-18 2.186989 4.239785 7.425194 12.457245 19.896094 30.149086 44.950353
2025-05-25 1.869638 3.835590 7.004671 12.163040 19.977570 30.964337 47.093879
2025-06-01 1.627367 3.525114 6.696819 12.005770 20.231854 32.008451 49.562305
2025-06-08 1.389869 3.189025 6.311704 11.691052 20.219328 32.652696 51.468478
2025-06-15 1.244946 3.007295 6.169798 11.755660 20.787307 34.159937 54.657738
2025-06-22 1.100181 2.804680 5.970718 11.707235 21.168345 35.395281 57.481318
2025-06-29 0.999838 2.677318 5.891630 11.849230 21.848077 37.088072 61.008845
2025-07-06 0.909180 2.556869 5.812427 11.981175 22.510134 38.766763 64.551911
2025-07-13 0.854556 2.507689 5.861156 12.335607 23.543903 41.037184 69.026380
2025-07-20 0.791747 2.430490 5.847853 12.575155 24.392030 43.039732 73.141367
2025-07-27 0.709385 2.293963 5.704183 12.566209 24.817561 44.389144 76.292654
2025-08-03 0.586216 2.033951 5.283457 12.013245 24.285526 44.202686 77.079098
2025-08-10 0.509647 1.878848 5.063639 11.820065 24.358179 44.971710 79.346512
2025-08-17 0.435788 1.715740 4.808483 11.537980 24.255592 45.445709 81.154507
2025-08-24 0.380078 1.592418 4.627565 11.387208 24.375011 46.278031 83.537153